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  • High Specificity Identification of Acute Large Vessel Stroke: Maximizing Cohort Selection for Potential Mechanical Thrombectomy

    Final Number:
    247

    Authors:
    Scott L. Zuckerman MD

    Study Design:
    Other

    Subject Category:
    Cerebrovascular

    Meeting: AANS/CNS Cerebrovascular Section 2014 Annual Meeting

    Introduction: With mechanical thrombectomy (MT), 0-4.5hr patients ineligible for IV tPA likely benefit from recanalization therapy, and >4.5hr patients may also benefit. However, limited centers provide MT. To transfer all high NIHSS patients for MT would be inefficient and costly, as NIHSS has limited value as a surrogate for large vessel occlusion (LVO). We identify an NIHSS subset analysis that community care-givers can use to identify LVO patients, for whom MT may be beneficial.

    Methods: Acute strokes presenting to VUMC from 2012 to 2013 (779) were evaluated for presentation NIHSS. All patients had vascular imaging and 125 demonstrated LVO. Modified receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated for each combination of three NIHSS items. Subsets were ranked by a modified area under the curve (AUC). False negative rates could not exceed 80%, enabling comparison of each combination’s specificity for LVO while ensuring >20% sensitivity.

    Results: The 3 NIHSS subset with the largest modified AUC was “Facial Palsy”, “Language”, and “Extinction”. Given that “Language” could bias selection towards left hemisphere stroke, we identified the best AUC subset after excluding “Language”: “Level of Consciousness – Questions”, “Facial Palsy”, and “Extinction”. Using 4 out of 7 possible points as cutoff, these criteria have 89.3% specificity and 28.8% sensitivity for LVO. Figure 1 shows the modified ROC curve.

    Conclusions: We present a three-item score, derived from the NIHSS that is 89% specific for LVO. Hospitals without MT capabilities can use this easy to implement score to determine which patients may benefit from transfer to a MT providing center. However, in order to maximize specificity, we are only 29% sensitive, with 2/3 of LVO not being detected. This is non-ideal, but until better selection techniques are available this scale may provide a reasonable balance of resource utilization and potential patient benefit.

    Patient Care: Quickly stratify stroke patients who may benefit from emergent thrombectomy.

    Learning Objectives: The goal of our study was to formulate a specific, rapid questionnaire that first responders, nurses, and physicians can use to recognize large vessel ischemic stroke where emergent clot retrieval may be of benefit.

    References: NA

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