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  • Delayed Decline in Octogenarians: A Predictor of Outcome or Not?

    Final Number:
    1063

    Authors:
    Bradley N. Bohnstedt MD; Thomas J. Leipzig MD; Andrew DeNardo MD

    Study Design:
    Other

    Subject Category:

    Meeting: Congress of Neurological Surgeons 2013 Annual Meeting

    Introduction: We propose that patients greater than 80 years old that present with a SAH decompensate to over the course of 3-5 days regardless of treatment. There has been anecdotal evidence that this decline may more accurately predict outcome than admission Hunt Hess grade (HH).

    Methods: We retrospectively reviewed a prospectively collected database of 4204 patients presenting with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Of these, 86 were found to be over 80 years of age at the time of presentation. Patients were grouped by survival at time of discharge as well as SAH day of decline. Groups were analyzed for presentation characteristics, decline characteristics, and outcome at discharge. Statistical analysis was performed with Fisher’s exact test, Student T-test, and Goodman and Kruskal Lambda where appropriate.

    Results: Twenty-two of 35 patients dying declined during hospitalization, while 25 of the 51 patients surviving declined (55% of total declined). HH 3.1 and 2.18 (p=0.0009) for those dying and surviving, respectively. HH grade at time of decline was the most predictive of death for the two groups, 4.6 vs. 3.52(p=0.0001). A majority of those declining in both groups had an unclear cause for their decline. The group of individuals with early decline (on or before SAH day 3) comprised 29 patients (average age 84.5), while those declining late (on or after SAH day 4) comprised 56 patients (average age 83.3). HH on admission was 3.1 and 2.3 (p=0.0080), with death occurring before discharge in 23 and 12 (p=0.0001) for early and late decline, respectively. Early decline was found to be more predictive of death than admission HH (X2=26.427,p=0.000 vs X2=7.617,p=0.0079)

    Conclusions: Patients older than 80 years old presenting with an aSAH frequently decline in a delayed fashion despite treatment. SAH day of decline may be a better predictor of outcome than presenting HH.

    Patient Care: Giving expected outcomes for octogenarians presenting with aSAH.

    Learning Objectives: 1)Patients >80 yo presenting with aSAH frequently decline in a delayed fashion not associated with vasospasm, stroke, rehemorrhage, or because of new post-op deficit. 2)Delayed HH score is more predictive of outcome than initial HH score

    References: 1. de Rooij, N.K., et al., Incidence of subarachnoid haemorrhage: a systematic review with emphasis on region, age, gender and time trends. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry, 2007. 78(12): p. 1365-72. 2. Inoue, M., et al., Symptomatic vasospasm in elderly patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: comparison with nonelderly patients. Acta Neurochir Suppl, 2013. 115: p. 281-4. 3. Gonzalez, N.R., et al., Endovascular coiling of intracranial aneurysms in elderly patients: report of 205 treated aneurysms. Neurosurgery, 2010. 66(4): p. 714-20; discussion 720-1. 4. Shirao, S., et al., Age limit for surgical treatment of poor-grade patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage: A project of the Chugoku-Shikoku division of the Japan neurosurgical society. Surg Neurol Int, 2012. 3: p. 143. 5. Inagawa, T., et al., Rebleeding of ruptured intracranial aneurysms in the acute stage. Surg Neurol, 1987. 28(2): p. 93-9. 6. Hijdra, A., et al., Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Complications and outcome in a hospital population. Stroke, 1987. 18(6): p. 1061-7. 7. Juvela, S., Rebleeding from ruptured intracranial aneurysms. Surg Neurol, 1989. 32(5): p. 323-6. 8. Nishioka, H., et al., Cooperative study of intracranial aneurysms and subarachnoid hemorrhage: a long-term prognostic study. II. Ruptured intracranial aneurysms managed conservatively. Arch Neurol, 1984. 41(11): p. 1142-6.

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